Murder rate in South Africa, 2024/25
Murder victims (unlawful and intentional killings) per 100,000 people. South Africa, national, April 2024 to March 2025 (SAPS financial year 2024/25); death records for calendar year 2024. Unit: per 100,000 people.
39.84per 100,000 people, 2024
Score breakdown
- Quality34 / 40
How well the sources are made
- Agreement0 / 30
How close the sources are to each other
- Independence16 / 20
How many separate ways the number was measured
- Freshness10 / 10
How recent the newest data is
How much each source counts
- SAPS63%
- Stats SA38%
Shown but not counted: UNODC (republishes SAPS police recorded crime statistics, annual figures); WHO (republishes Stats SA, Mortality and causes of death: findings from death notification (P0309.3)).
Sources
| Source | Value | Definition | Quality | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAPS police recorded crime statistics, annual figuresSouth African Police Service (SAPS) · Police and justice recordsRetrieved 2026-10-26 | 39.842024 | Murders recorded by SAPS at all police stations from April 2024 to March 2025 (financial year 2024/25): unlawful and intentional killings, one count per victim, including farm murders and murders of police officers.A crime is counted when it is registered at a police station, whatever date it was committed. Divided by Stats SA's estimate of the population on 30 June 2024 (61,983,505; Mid-year population estimates 2026, P0302). The same Stats SA population series is used for every year and for the SAPS, Stats SA and WHO lines. Counts from the station-level sheet of SAPS's 2024/25 annual Excel file; the national row equals the sum of station rows. SAPS's own release gives 39.1 per 100,000, dividing by 63,115,905 people (https://www.saps.gov.za/services/downloads/2024-2025%20_Annual_Financial%20year_WEB.pdf, p. 18). Murders fell 10.6% from 2023/24. | 5 of 5 checks
| 63% |
| UNODC Data Portal, victims of intentional homicideUnited Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) · Police and justice recordsRetrieved 2026-10-26 | 39.722024 | Victims of intentional homicide, total for both sexes and all ages, rate per 100,000 from UNODC's own population figures (UN World Population Prospects 2024).UNODC source code: NP/CTS/NP Adjusted. UNODC's counts for 2015-2021 equal SAPS's April-March totals for 2015/16-2021/22; for 2024 it gives 25,423 victims against SAPS's 24,692 for 2024/25. Raw file: data_cts_intentional_homicide.xlsx (UNODC, updated 12 July 2026). | 4 of 5 checks
| Not counted |
| Stats SA, Mortality and causes of death: findings from death notification (P0309.3)Statistics South Africa (Stats SA) · Death and health registersRetrieved 2026-10-26 | 12.082024 | Deaths in 2024 whose underlying cause on the death notification form is assault (ICD-10 X85-Y09), from the civil registration system of the Department of Home Affairs, as processed by Stats SA for its 2026 release.Divided by Stats SA's estimate of the population on 30 June 2024 (61,983,505; Mid-year population estimates 2026, P0302). The same Stats SA population series is used for every year and for the SAPS, Stats SA and WHO lines. Table 4.11 (p. 49) of the 2024 release (https://www.statssa.gov.za/publications/P03093/P030932024.pdf) and sheet App.K of its appendix tables (this line's link). Of 62,871 non-natural deaths, 47,098 were coded as other external causes of accidental injury (W00-X59) and 2,265 as undetermined intent (Y10-Y34). | 3 of 5 checks
| 38% |
| WHO Mortality Database, deaths by assaultWorld Health Organization (WHO) · Death and health registersRetrieved 2026-10-26 | 9.562020 | Registered deaths with underlying cause assault (ICD-10 X85-Y09), all ages and both sexes, in 2020, divided by Stats SA's estimate of the population on 30 June 2020 (59,284,850; same series as the other lines).WHO's 2020 counts (5,668 assault, 2,603 undetermined intent) equal those in Stats SA's 2020 release, so this is Stats SA's death register passed on; WHO has no South African data after 2020. Raw files: morticd10_part1-6.zip. | 4 of 5 checks
| Not counted |
- SAPS police recorded crime statistics, annual figures
- UNODC Data Portal, victims of intentional homicide
- WHO Mortality Database, deaths by assault
Show the data as a table
| Year | SAPS police recorded crime statistics, annual figures | UNODC Data Portal, victims of intentional homicide | WHO Mortality Database, deaths by assault |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 33.84 | 32.92 | 13.05 |
| 2016 | 33.98 | 33.21 | 14.36 |
| 2017 | 35.85 | 35.28 | 14.13 |
| 2018 | 36.52 | 35.87 | 13.19 |
| 2019 | 36.49 | 35.79 | 13 |
| 2020 | 33.69 | 32.98 | 9.56 |
| 2021 | 42.05 | 40.94 | – |
| 2022 | 45.43 | 43.72 | – |
| 2023 | 45.11 | 43.38 | – |
| 2024 | 39.84 | 39.72 | – |